What is serve plus one in tennis, and how to use it

Serve wide. Hit to the open court.

Traced from real footage

See it, eight instants at a time.

Every frame is traced from real match footage, so you see the shape of the stroke, not a drawing of an idea.

Federer's serve, instant 6 of 8
FIG. 44 · FEDERER'S SERVE
Contact
Federer's serve: eight instants traced from the footage, frame for frame. Hover or tap to flip; the dot marks contact.
Try it

Move the idea yourself.

One instrument from The Program, free here. Drag it and watch the numbers change: models are labelled as models.

Serve +1 · pick the serve
Model
ball 3
8.2 m
of the returner's side left open for ball 3, sideline to where they stand

Wide drags the returner off the court. Their reply comes from out there, and the whole other side is yours for ball 3.

Drawn geometry on a deuce-court serve: target, where the returner ends up, the cone they can reply into, and the open court ball 3 goes to. Alcaraz served wide on the point above, serving for the title.

Key facts

  1. 57%

    In ATP’s 41-match analysis against right-handed opponents, Djokovic played a plus-one forehand on 473 of 945 second-serve points and won 271 of those 473 points (57%). A point could continue beyond that forehand.

    ATP Beyond the Numbers, October 31, 2023

  2. 57.91%

    The same article separately reports a season-to-date second-serve point-win rate of 816/1,409 (57.91%). That uses a different sample from the plus-one count.

    ATP Beyond the Numbers, October 31, 2023

  3. 03

    MCP’s “≤3 W%” concerns points the server wins on an unreturned serve or the third shot. It is not the same statistic as winning a point in which a plus-one forehand was played.

    Heavy Topspin, MCP serve stats glossary (2019)

  4. 15%

    A December 2022 ATP/TDI article reports second serves to the forehand rising from 15% in 2012 to 22% in 2022. Its analysis covered nearly 150 right-handed ATP players with at least 1,000 second serves against right-handers over ten years.

    Golden Set Analytics for TDI, December 17, 2022

  5. 05

    MCP rally length includes the serve and excludes errors: double faults count as zero and unreturned serves as one. The share of points in a rally-length group is a different measure from a server’s win percentage.

    Heavy Topspin, Match Charting Project rally stats glossary (2019)

Why it works

A wide serve can move the returner away from the centre and open space on the opposite side. The return may still come back deep or down the line. Read its direction, height and depth before committing to ball three.

Choose an intended plus one before the toss, then adjust to the actual return. A short reply may let you attack the open court; a deep return can require another building ball or a different stroke.

An early, deep return can reduce the server’s time and help the returner recover. A wider receiving position changes the space available for a T or body serve. These are tactical options, not guaranteed replies.

The line to say on court

“The serve buys space. The next ball spends it.”

Drill: The serve +1 ladder

15 min · with a partner
  1. Mark a generous wide zone inside the deuce service box and keep its size fixed. Take ten single-delivery serve attempts with the same chosen serve. Count zone landings; faults and out-of-zone serves stay in the ten.
  2. Rehearse ten separate feeds, five short and five deep, in mixed order. Read each feed, then choose an attacking or building ball with margin. These feeds practise the next shot; they do not measure the effect of your serve.
  3. Play ten live service points from the deuce side, using a second serve after a first fault, then switch roles. Count serve placements, balls three reached, plans kept or changed, and point results separately.
Number to beatServe-placement goal: 6 zone hits from 10 single-delivery attempts

More drills like this: serve, point play

Faults and fixes

Planning the serve but not the next ball
You have no starting plan for the reply.
FixChoose an intended plus one before serving, then adjust your position and shot to the actual return.
Going for the line on ball three
A small target can waste the space you created.
FixChoose a target with a margin that fits the return, your position and your control.
Running the same pattern every point
Repeated choices can become easier to anticipate.
FixPractise more than one target and chart which patterns you can execute.

Questions players ask

What does serve +1 mean in tennis?

It is the serve and the server’s first shot after the return, planned together. Choose an intended continuation, then adjust it to the ball the returner actually sends back.

What if the returner stands wider to cover the wide serve?

Look for the space left toward the T, or consider a body serve you can execute. Then watch the reply and how the returner changes position.

Why does a wide serve lead to a short cross-court reply?

It can create that opportunity, but the reply is not guaranteed. A returner can send the ball deep or down the line. Judge the actual return before committing to the plus one.

How do you defend against serve +1?

A controlled, deep return can reduce the server’s time to attack. The best available reply depends on the serve and your position.

What this doesn't cover

Win rates for serve patterns depend on the player and the surface. There is no universal number. The board’s reply paths are authored examples, not measured return frequencies. One source point shows a possible response, not how often it occurs. The private rally-length figure describes one Wimbledon final, not a tour-wide distribution. The ten-serve score measures placement only. Live-point wins and plus-one decisions are separate observations; unreturned serves and double faults offer no ball-three decision to grade.

Sources

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