Play 74 · Track 07 · Know the game · 7 min

Know who'd win, not who's ranked first.

A good Elo predicts results better than the official rankings. Why the list everyone quotes isn't the one that knows who's best.

01
Why the ranking counts attendance and Elo counts strength
02
The one formula, and what a 400-point gap means
03
How much better Elo predicts, in one number
04
A ten-match draw test: ranking versus Elo
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